topsecretdailynotesfile

Jun 2, 2026, 08:22 PM

TODAY

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points (FPTS), using ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, minus-2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. RST%: The pitcher's roster percentage in ESPN leagues. W%: The individual starting pitcher's win probability using ESPN projections. IP: Projected innings pitched. H+BB: Projected hits plus walks allowed. ER: Projected earned runs allowed. K: Projected strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, the bulk pitcher is listed and indicated with an asterisk.

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
14.5	Nathan Eovaldi	R	@STL	88.0%	53%	6.5	7.1	2.3	6.2
14.2	Logan Gilbert	R	NYM	96.8%	38%	6.0	6.4	2.1	6.6
12.5	Cam Schlittler	R	CLE	98.8%	41%	5.9	7.2	2.3	6.2
11.7	Bubba Chandler	R	@HOU	22.7%	33%	5.3	6.3	1.9	5.6
10.6	Jack Flaherty	R	@TB	35.3%	29%	5.1	6.3	2.0	5.6
10.6	Jonah Tong	R	@SEA	3.3%	24%	4.9	5.9	1.8	5.5
10.5	Kyle Harrison	L	SF	77.9%	38%	5.5	7.0	2.5	5.6
10.1	Dustin May	R	TEX	9.7%	28%	6.0	7.6	2.6	5.2
9.9	Davis Martin	R	@MIN	91.1%	38%	5.6	7.3	2.6	5.3
9.7	Noah Cameron	L	@CIN	10.2%	34%	5.6	7.2	2.9	5.6
9.6	Andrew Abbott	L	KC	49.0%	33%	5.8	7.4	2.9	5.3
9.5	Mike Burrows	R	PIT	4.3%	28%	5.7	7.5	2.8	5.6
9.5	Connelly Early	L	BAL	43.3%	33%	5.3	7.0	2.7	5.8
9.5	Jameson Taillon	R	ATH	7.1%	35%	5.7	6.9	2.8	4.8
9.3	Kevin Gausman	R	@ATL	96.8%	36%	5.5	7.1	2.8	5.3
8.8	Michael Soroka	R	LAD	53.9%	29%	5.2	6.7	2.5	5.0
8.7	Ryan Gusto*	R	@WSH	0.4%	32%	5.5	6.9	2.8	4.7
8.4	Aaron Nola	R	SD	39.8%	20%	4.8	6.0	2.4	5.0
8.4	Shane Baz	R	@BOS	28.0%	31%	6.1	8.7	3.6	6.1
7.7	Grayson Rodriguez	R	COL	7.5%	33%	5.5	7.8	3.2	5.4
7.4	Gage Jump	L	@CHC	4.1%	13%	4.3	5.6	1.9	4.1
7.3	Randy Vasquez	R	@PHI	38.0%	30%	5.3	7.0	2.8	4.0
7.1	Joey Cantillo	L	@NYY	21.7%	17%	4.6	6.8	2.3	4.9
7.0	Trevor McDonald	R	@MIL	7.7%	21%	4.9	6.6	2.6	4.2
6.8	Steven Matz	L	DET	10.5%	6%	3.7	4.6	1.5	3.6
6.8	Bryce Elder	R	TOR	87.3%	23%	5.1	7.2	2.9	4.5
6.6	Tomoyuki Sugano	R	@LAA	2.6%	31%	5.7	7.9	3.5	4.3
6.1	Miles Mikolas	R	MIA	0.6%	26%	5.2	7.0	3.1	3.9
6.1	Connor Prielipp	L	CWS	3.0%	17%	4.8	7.4	2.8	4.9
5.7	Eric Lauer	L	@ARI	2.7%	21%	4.7	6.8	2.8	4.0

TOMORROW

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
16.3	Paul Skenes	R	@HOU	99.9%	47%	6.2	6.1	1.7	7.1
15.6	Cristopher Sanchez	L	SD	99.8%	64%	7.0	7.8	2.6	6.9
14.2	Shohei Ohtani	R	@ARI	99.8%	49%	6.2	7.3	2.2	6.8
12.5	Freddy Peralta	R	@SEA	93.7%	37%	5.9	7.1	2.3	6.3
12.4	Chase Burns	R	KC	96.3%	35%	5.8	6.7	2.5	6.5
11.5	George Kirby	R	NYM	95.6%	33%	5.9	6.9	2.4	5.6
11.3	Spencer Arrighetti	R	PIT	60.7%	26%	5.8	7.3	2.3	6.0
11.0	Nick Martinez	R	DET	68.6%	34%	5.6	6.5	2.1	4.9
10.8	Gerrit Cole	R	CLE	88.9%	21%	4.8	5.3	1.7	5.2
10.3	Gavin Williams	R	@NYY	94.8%	29%	5.4	7.1	2.4	6.0
10.0	Troy Melton	R	@TB	6.1%	27%	5.3	6.5	2.2	5.0
9.6	Taj Bradley	R	CWS	70.2%	31%	5.3	6.8	2.4	5.3
9.4	Max Meyer	R	@WSH	70.0%	35%	6.0	8.1	3.2	6.0
9.4	Logan Webb	R	@MIL	89.0%	32%	5.7	7.5	2.8	5.5
9.3	Colin Rea	R	ATH	5.8%	36%	5.9	7.7	3.0	5.1
8.9	Payton Tolle	L	BAL	43.6%	30%	5.1	6.6	2.8	5.7
8.9	Stephen Kolek	R	@CIN	15.3%	35%	6.0	7.9	3.2	5.2
8.9	Andrew Alvarez	L	MIA	0.4%	27%	5.0	6.2	2.2	4.5
8.8	Jeffrey Springs	L	@CHC	17.7%	28%	5.4	7.0	2.6	4.7
8.8	Andre Pallante	R	TEX	3.9%	33%	5.6	7.5	2.5	4.4
7.7	Walbert Urena	R	COL	7.4%	37%	5.8	8.4	3.0	4.7
7.5	Patrick Corbin	L	@ATL	2.2%	29%	5.0	6.7	2.7	4.5
7.4	MacKenzie Gore	L	@STL	63.0%	14%	4.4	5.9	1.9	4.3
6.9	Grant Holmes	R	TOR	12.0%	23%	5.1	7.2	3.0	5.1
6.8	Erick Fedde	R	@MIN	0.7%	28%	5.3	7.4	2.9	4.2
6.7	Coleman Crow	R	SF	1.0%	15%	4.3	5.5	2.2	3.8
6.5	Walker Buehler	R	@PHI	2.6%	19%	4.9	6.8	2.6	4.1
6.1	Zac Gallen	R	LAD	48.6%	12%	4.8	6.8	2.7	4.4
6.1	Chris Bassitt	R	@BOS	4.6%	22%	5.0	7.2	3.0	4.6
5.8	Michael Lorenzen	R	@LAA	0.4%	28%	5.5	8.2	3.6	4.8

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@SF	-126	55.3	+0.71	-1.0	+106	+0.71	7.0	O -108	7.56	-0.01
Logan Webb	NYY	+104	44.7	-10.55	+1.0	-138	-10.55	7.0	U -112	7.56	-8.99

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@ SF	-126	55.2	0.66	-1.0	+106	0.66	7.0	O -105	7.57	1.64
Logan Webb	vs. NYY	+104	44.8	-10.48	+1.0	-138	-10.48		U -115		-10.37